The Old Man’s Picks Week 15 – 2011

Week 14 was one of the more exciting weeks in this years NFL season. Houston put a serious dent in the Bengals playoff plans with a last second win. The Bears went from leading the pack of wild-card teams to being on the outside looking in thanks to Tebow and company. The Giants? All they did was take over the end of the game to take control of the NFC East. What happens this week? Read on to find out!

Jacksonville Jaguars (+11) at Atlanta Falcons – Thursday Night

The Falcons are a team on the rise at the right time of the year. They remind me of the Packers last season. Teams had better watch out because they are playing their best football of the year. This week they face the Jacksonville Jaguars who destroyed the Tampa Bay Bucs last week. It won’t be that easy for the Jags this week as the Falcons continue their playoff quest and move one step close to clinching one of the two wild-card positions.

Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Saturday Night

Eli Manning has been clutch in the fourth quarter this year.

The Cowboys have got to be hoping this game does not come down to a last second field goal. They’re 0 for 2 in the past two weeks in that category. The Cowboys will miss running back DeMarco Murray, as will I since he was on my fantasy team, but I think the Cowboys will win this game. This will be closer than most people think, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bucs pulled it off, but I’m going with the Cowboys in this one.

Washington Redskins (+6.5) at New York Giants

The Giants need this game to stay atop the NFC East as they battle the Cowboys for the division title. The Redskins, they’re playing out the season. This should be an easy win for the G-Men. Take the Giants at home.

Green Bay Packers (-12) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs fired coach Todd Haley earlier this week and former Browns frontman Romeo Crennel begins his three-game audition for the head coaching job. It won’t be a good start for Romeo and the Chiefs as the Packers move one step closer to a perfect season. Packers win by ten.

New Orleans Saints (-7) at Minnesota Vikings

I know the Vikings lost last week to the Lions, but two of the Lions touchdowns came off of turnovers. If the Vikings can limit their mistakes, they have a chance to pull of the upset. The Saints need this one, however, to help lock up the number two seed. Saints won’t stumble in a dome on the road. Saints by two touchdowns.

Seattle Seahawks (+3.5) at Chicago Bears

The Bears are favored? Seriously? I don’t think the Bears will win. They have no offense. The loss to Denver was not only a loss, but one that they’re still not over. I think the team realizes this was a season that could have been but is now a season of has been. Take the Seahawks on the road as they hold the Bears to under ten points.

Miami Dolphins (+1) at Buffalo Bills

Ben Tate has had a great season backing up Arian Foster and could be used more now that the Texans have clinched the AFC South.

The Dolphins fired their coach this week as well. Will it make a difference? I don’t think so, not this week. The Bills are due to have a big game and I think this is the week it happens. They’re frustrated and they’ll take that frustration out on the Dolphins. Bills win big.

Carolina Panthers (-6.5) at Houston Texans

The Texans are AFC South champions and, believe it or not, currently the top seed in the AFC. The Panthers will put up a contest, but I look for the Texans running game to take over late as the Texans stay in contention for the number one seed. Texans win at home.

Tennessee Titans (-6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

The Colts can clinch the number one selection in the draft with a loss to the Titans this week, and they’ll do so with ease. The Titans are sill in the playoff race and can make things interesting with a win and a Jets loss. I think Chris Johnson will have a monster game. Titans roll. My question is once the Colts wrap up the number one draft pick, will they rest their starters?

Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5) at Saint Louis Rams

The Bengals playoff chances took a serious hit last week with that last second loss to the Texans. Even if they win out, they’re going to need the Titans and Jets to help them out. The Bengals should win this week and keep alive their slim playoff hopes. I will give the Bengals credit, they had a much better season than I thought they would. A solid young team on the rise.

Detroit Lions (-1) at Oakland Raiders

This is one of those trap games for me. The Lions “should” win this one going away, but Oakland is one of those teams that if they’re playing like they shold, they’ll beat you. It’s a must win for both clubs as the Lions cling to a wild-card lead and Oakland tries to stay in the AFC West picture. I’m going with the upset and taking Oakland at home.

New England Patriots (-6) at Denver Broncos

This game should have been flexed to Sunday night. Brady versus Tebow in a game that has major playoff implications. I think this will be an old fashioned shoot out but this time Brady leads the winning fourth quarter drive and Tebow’s Tebow. Take the Patriots on the road.

New York Jets (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles

The Jets are riding a three game win streak BUT those wins have come against the Bills, Redskins, and Chiefs. This week they face a rejuvenated Eagles team coming off a win against the Dolphins. The Jets need this one but I think the Eagles take it to make the AFC playoff picture just that much more fuzzy. Eagles win at home.

Cleveland Browns (+6.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Rivers has caught his stride here in December, but is it too late?

I hate the Cardinals. Why? Because I never pick their games correctly! I take them to win, they lose. I take them to lose, they win. If I picked them to win and lose in the same game, they’d tie. This should be an easy win for the Cardinals, so I’m going to take them. If you were a wise reader, you’d load up on the Browns! Cardinals win at home.

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) at San Diego Chargers

The Ravens have proven time and again that they can be one of the best teams one week, and a mediocre team the next. They have broken that mold of late by going on a three game win streak against the 49ers, Browns, and Colts. This week they run into a San Diego team that looked like the team I thought they’d be last week. I’m going with the upset and taking the Chargers to win at home. If the Chargers and Raiders win, and the Broncos lose, the AFC West would have a three way tie for the lead.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5) at San Francisco 49ers

Whether or not you’re a Ben Roethlesberger fan, you have to give him a tip of the hat for his performance last week. I personally thought his leg was broken. I don’t think it would have mattered, he would have returned anyway! This week the Steelers travel to a struggling 49er team. They’ve dropped two of their last three, something you don’t want to do at the end of the year. This will be a hard hitting, old fashioned football game but I think the 49ers win with their defense. A great Monday night match-up!

That’s it for this week. Take it to the bank!